19 February 2025
Jakarta, February 19, 2025 - Indonesia will need to stimulate its
manufacturing sector in order to achieve the objective of 8% economic
growth in 2029, according to panelists at the mini-plenary titled “Getting
Industrial Policy Right for Indonesia” during the second day of the Indonesia
Economic Summit.
Marco Kamiya, UN Industrial Development Organization Representative for
Indonesia, Timor Leste, and Philippines, said various academic researches
and past experiences suggest that the share of manufacturing-to-GDP must
be around 25% in order for economic growth to reach and to be maintained
at 8%. “Indonesia needs to hit 8% economic growth continuously, not
occasionally, in order to achieve Golden Indonesia 2045,” said Marco
Kamiya.
Manufacturing accounts for around 19% of Indonesia’s GDP in 2023, highe
than 18% in 2022, according to the World Bank. However, the share of
manufacturing to GDP in Indonesia has been in steady decline from its peak
of 32% in 2002.
According to the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), the share of FDI
flows into primary sectors such as agriculture and plantation declined to
12.2% of the total FDI amount in 2024 from as high as 18.7% in 2010. The
share of FDI flows into secondary industries such as mineral processing rose
to 58.5% from 20.6% in 2010-2024.
Marco Kamiya offered three solutions to drive the manufacturing sector:
Firstly, to improve the absorption capacity of new technology for both large
companies and small- and medium-enterprises (SMEs); second is enabling
digital transformation that will be crucial to elevate productivity; and lastly
stimulating entrepreneurship.
Yose Rizal Damuri, Executive Director at Center for Strategic and
International Studies (CSIS), said Indonesia’s push to drive manufacturing
sector and economic growth higher must face the realities in the form of (1)
informal sector remains a major source of employment, and (2) lack of skill
workers.
Around 80 million Indonesians were employed in the informal sectors, which
need to be lifted in terms of their incomes and social protections.
Furthermore, around 40% of the Indonesian workforce only has primary
school education and another 20% only has middle-school education.
"We cannot expect them to join the tech sector or do more sophisticated
things,” said Yose Rizal Damuri, who suggested that the Indonesian
Government must do more to revitalize the labour-intensive industries.
Pham Sanh Chau, CEO of VinFast Asia, said the way forward for Indonesia is
to encourage FDI flows into the country. VinFast planned to invest billions of
dollars in Indonesia in order to create an ecosystem for Electric Vehicles in
Indonesia as the Vietnamese conglomerate believes in Indonesia’s growth
potential.
About the Indonesia Economic Summit (IES): The Indonesia Economic Summit (IES) is an
annual initiative of the Indonesia Business Council (IBC). Initiated as a high-level forum for
collaboration and innovation, IES seeks to promote competitiveness, inclusive growth, and
sustainable prosperity for Indonesia. This forum reflects IBC’s commitment to advancing
Indonesia’s role in the global economic arena.
About the Indonesian Business Council (IBC): The Indonesian Business Council (IBC) is an
association of CEOs and business/industry leaders of leading companies in Indonesia,
established in February 2023. IBC seeks to promote and strengthen Indonesia’s
competitiveness, encourage collaboration, and enhance the contribution of the Indonesian
private sector to economic growth and prosperity, through advocacy.
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